A multi-model sub-seasonal forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME produced on 01/30/2024 for the next 7 and 14 days.
The calibrated sub-seasonal multi-model forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME is generated through scientific cooperation between CPTEC/INPE and FUNCEME, and comes from a set of 4 global models (a Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP, and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). The forecast precipitation anomalies are determined in relation to the climatological period from 1999 to 2016. The outputs for the 7 and 14-day forecast intervals are shown below, detailing the forecast behavior of the basins of interest.
Forecast for the next 7 days
The figure above shows the forecast for the 7-day interval between 01/31/2024 e 02/06/2024, with a precipitation deficit forecast (orange), predominantly in the east of the monitored area, over the main course of the Amazon River in Brazilian territory, the basins of the Abacaxis, Curuá Una, Guaporé, Iriri, Juruena, Mamoré rivers, the basins on the left bank of the Amazon River in the northeast and northwest of the state of Pará, the basins of the Teles Pires and Xingu rivers. Rainfall forecast above (blue) climatology in the west of the region over the main course of the Amazon River in Peruvian territory, the river basins of the Coari, Içá, Japurá, Juruá, Jutaí, Madeira, Marañon, Napo, Negro, Purus, Tefé Ucayali and the main course of the Solimões River. Other river basins, with rainfall accumulations close (white) to the climatology for the period.
Forecast for the next 14 days
The figure above shows the prognosis for the 14-day interval between 01/31/2024 e 02/13/2024, with a precipitation deficit forecast (orange), predominantly in the east of the monitored area, over the main course of the Amazon River in Brazilian territory, the basins of the Abacaxis, Aripuanã, Curuá Una, Guaporé, Iriri, Ji-Paraná, Juruena, Mamoré rivers, the basins of the left bank of the Amazon River in the northeast of the state of Amazonas, the northeast and northwest of the state of Pará, the basins of the Tapajós, Teles Pires and Xingu rivers. Rainfall forecast above (blue) climatology in the west of the region over the main course of the Amazon River in Peruvian territory, the Coari, Içá, Japurá, Juruá, Jutaí, Madeira, Marañon, Napo, Negro, Purus, Tefé Ucayali river basins and the main course of the Solimões River. Beni, Branco and Ucayali river basins with rainfall accumulations close (white) to the climatology for the period.