A multi-model sub-seasonal forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME produced on 02/13/2024 for the next 7 and 14 days.
The calibrated sub-seasonal multi-model forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME is generated through scientific cooperation between CPTEC/INPE and FUNCEME, and comes from a set of 4 global models (a Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP, and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). The forecast precipitation anomalies are determined in relation to the climatological period from 1999 to 2016. The outputs for the 7 and 14-day forecast intervals are shown below, detailing the forecast behavior of the basins of interest.
Forecast for the next 7 days
The figure above shows the forecast for the 7-day interval between 02/14/2024 e 02/20/2024, with precipitation deficit forecast (orange), predominating in the east of the monitored area, over the main course of the Amazon River in Brazilian territory, basins of the Abacaxis, Aripuanã, Beni, Branco, Coari, Curuá Una, Guaporé, Iriri, Ji-Paraná, Juruena, Madeira, Mamoré, basins on the left bank of the Amazon River in the northeast of the state of Amazonas, the northeast and northwest of the state of Pará, the basins of the Negro, Tapajós, Tefé, Teles Pires, Xingu rivers and the main course of the Solimões. Rainfall forecast above (blue) climatology in isolated areas over the Japurá basin and predominantly over the Javari basin and the main course of the Amazon River in Peruvian territory, the Içá, Juruá, Jutaí, Marañon, Napo, Purus and Ucayali river basins with rainfall accumulations close (white) to climatology for the period.
Forecast for the next 14 days
The figure above shows the prognosis for the 14-day interval between 02/14/2024 e 02/27/2024, with precipitation deficit forecast (orange), predominating in almost the entire monitored area, over the main course of the Amazon River in Brazilian and Peruvian territory, basins of the Abacaxis, Aripuanã, Beni, Branco, Coari, Curuá Una, Guaporé, Içá, Iriri, Japurá, Ji-Paraná, Juruena, Jutaí, Madeira, Mamoré, Marañon, basins on the left bank of the Amazon River in the northeast of the state of Amazonas, the northeast and northwest of the state of Pará, the basins of the Napo, Negro, Tapajós, Teles Pires, Xingu and the main course of the Solimões River. The Javari, Juruá, Purus and Ucayali river basins with rainfall accumulations close (white) to the climatology for the period.