A multi-model sub-seasonal forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME produced on 04/16/2024 for the next 7 and 14 days.
The calibrated sub-seasonal multi-model forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME is generated through scientific cooperation between CPTEC/INPE and FUNCEME, and comes from a set of 4 global models (a Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP, and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). The forecast precipitation anomalies are determined in relation to the climatological period from 1999 to 2016. The outputs for the 7 and 14-day forecast intervals are shown below, detailing the forecast behavior of the basins of interest.
Forecast for the next 7 days
The figure above shows the forecast for the 7-day interval between 04/17/2024 e 04/23/2024, with a forecast rainfall deficit (orange), only over the Mamoré River basin in the extreme south of the monitored area. Rainfall above climatology is forecast for much of the region, over the main course of the Amazon River in Brazilian and Peruvian territory, the hydrographic basins of the Abacaxis, Aripuanã, Branco, Curuá Una, Guaporé, Iriri, Japurá, Ji-Paraná, Madeira, Marañon, basins on the left bank of the Amazon River in the northeast of the state of Amazonas, the northeast and northwest of the state of Pará, Napo, Negro, Purus, Tapajós, Ucayali and Xingu. Other areas with rainfall close (white) to the climatology for the period.
Forecast for the next 14 days
The figure above shows the prognosis for the 14-day interval between 04/17/2024 e 04/30/2024, with a precipitation deficit forecast (orange), only over isolated areas of the monitored region. Rainfall forecast above the climatology for a large part of the region, over the main course of the Amazon River in Brazilian territory, the hydrographic basins of the Abacaxis, Aripuanã, Beni, Branco, Curuá Una, Guaporé, Iriri, Japurá, Ji-Paraná, Madeira, Marañon rivers, the basins on the left bank of the Amazon River in the northeast of the state of Amazonas, the northeast and northwest of the state of Pará, Purus, Tapajós and Xingu. Other areas with rainfall close (white) to the climatology for the period.