A multi-model sub-seasonal forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME produced on 04/23/2024 for the next 7 and 14 days.
The calibrated sub-seasonal multi-model forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME is generated through scientific cooperation between CPTEC/INPE and FUNCEME, and comes from a set of 4 global models (a Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP, and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). The forecast precipitation anomalies are determined in relation to the climatological period from 1999 to 2016. The outputs for the 7 and 14-day forecast intervals are shown below, detailing the forecast behavior of the basins of interest.
Forecast for the next 7 days
The figure above shows the forecast for the 7-day interval between 04/24/2024 e 04/30/2024, with a precipitation deficit forecast (orange), only over the Curuá Una, Iriri, Mamoré, Tapajós and Xingu river basins, in the south and east of the monitored area. Rainfall above climatology is forecast in isolated areas in the west of the region, characterizing the Juruá and Marañon river basins. Other areas with a predominance of rainfall close (white) to the climatology for the period.
Forecast for the next 14 days
The figure above shows the prognosis for the 14-day interval between 04/24/2024 e 05/07/2024, with a precipitation deficit forecast (orange), mainly in the east of the monitored region, characterizing the watersheds of the Branco, Curuá Una, Guaporé, Iriri rivers, the left bank watersheds in the northeast and northwest of the state of Pará, the Tapajós and Xingu watersheds. Rainfall above climatology is forecast in isolated areas in the west of the region, over the Javari, Juruá, Jutaí, Marañon, Purus and Tefé river basins. Other areas with rainfall close (white) to the climatology for the period.