A multi-model sub-seasonal forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME produced on 09/24/2024 for the next 7 and 14 days.
The calibrated sub-seasonal multi-model forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME is generated through scientific cooperation between CPTEC/INPE and FUNCEME, and comes from a set of 4 global models (a Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP, and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). The forecast precipitation anomalies are determined in relation to the climatological period from 1999 to 2016. The outputs for the 7 and 14-day forecast intervals are shown below, detailing the forecast behavior of the basins of interest.
Forecast for the next 7 days
The figure above shows the forecast for the 7-day interval between 09/25/2024 e 10/01/2024, with a predominance of rainfall close to climatology (white) over a large part of the basin, and a forecast of precipitation deficits (orange) over the Beni, Guaporé, Ji-Paraná, Juruena, Mamoré, Teles-Pires and Xingu rivers. Forecast of positive rainfall anomalies (blue) over the Jutaí River basin.
Forecast for the next 14 days
The figure above shows the prognosis for the 14-day interval between 09/25/2024 e 10/08/2024, with a predominance of rainfall close to climatology (white) over most of the basin, and a forecast of precipitation deficits (orange) over the Aripuanã, Beni, Guaporé, Ji-Paraná, Juruena, Madeira, Mamoré, Purus, Teles-Pires and Xingu rivers. Forecast of positive precipitation anomalies (blue) over the Curuá Una river basins and basins on the left bank of the Amazon River in the northeast of the state of Amazonas and in the northeast and northwest of the state of Pará.