A multi-model sub-seasonal forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME produced on 10/15/2024 for the next 7 and 14 days.
The calibrated sub-seasonal multi-model forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME is generated through scientific cooperation between CPTEC/INPE and FUNCEME, and comes from a set of 4 global models (a Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP, and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). The forecast precipitation anomalies are determined in relation to the climatological period from 1999 to 2016. The outputs for the 7 and 14-day forecast intervals are shown below, detailing the forecast behavior of the basins of interest.
Forecast for the next 7 days
The figure above shows the forecast for the 7-day interval between 10/16/2024 e 10/22/2024, with rainfall close to climatology (white) in the western and southern parts of the monitored area, forecast rainfall deficit (orange) over the course of the Amazon in Peruvian territory and the basins of the Branco, Içá, Japurá, Javari, Jutaí, Marañon rivers, basins on the left bank of the Amazon River in the northeast of the state of Amazonas, Napo, Negro, Purus and the main course of the Solimões River. Forecast of positive precipitation anomalies (blue) over the Juruena, Teles Pires and Ucayali river basins.
Forecast for the next 14 days
The figure above shows the prognosis for the 14-day interval between 10/16/2024 e 10/29/2024, with rainfall close to climatology (white) in isolated river basins, forecast rainfall deficit (orange) over the course of the Amazon in Brazilian and Peruvian territory and the basins of the Abacaxis, Branco, Coari, Curuá Una, Içá, Iriri, Japurá, Javari, Juruá, Jutaí, Madeira, Marañon, basins on the left bank of the Amazon River in the northeast of the state of Amazonas and in the northeast and northwest of the state of Pará, Napo, Negro, Purus, Tapajós, Tefé, Ucayali and the main course of the Solimões River. Forecast of positive precipitation anomalies (blue) over the Juruena and Mamoré river basins.