A multi-model sub-seasonal forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME produced on 11/19/2024 for the next 7 and 14 days.
The calibrated sub-seasonal multi-model forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME is generated through scientific cooperation between CPTEC/INPE and FUNCEME, and comes from a set of 4 global models (a Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP, and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). The forecast precipitation anomalies are determined in relation to the climatological period from 1999 to 2016. The outputs for the 7 and 14-day forecast intervals are shown below, detailing the forecast behavior of the basins of interest.
Forecast for the next 7 days
The figure above shows the forecast for the 7-day interval between 11/20/2024 e 11/26/2024, forecast of precipitation deficits (orange) in the east of the monitored region, over the Amazon River in Brazilian territory and the basins of the Abacaxis, Curuá Una, Iriri, Tapajós rivers and the basins on the left bank of the Amazon River in the northeast of the state of Amazonas. A forecast of positive precipitation anomalies (blue) in the south of the monitored region, predominantly over the basins of the Beni, Guaporé and Mamoré rivers and the main course of the Solimões River.
Forecast for the next 14 days
The figure above shows the prognosis for the 14-day interval between 11/20/2024 e 12/03/2024, with a precipitation deficit forecast (orange) in the eastern part of the basin, over the Amazon River in Brazilian territory and the basins of the Abacaxis, Aripuanã, Branco, Curuá Una, Iriri, Japurá, Juruena, Madeira, the basins on the left bank of the Amazon River in the northeast of the state of Amazonas and the northeast and northwest of the states of Pará, Negro, Tapajós, Teles Pires and Xingu. Prediction of positive precipitation anomalies (blue) in the south of the monitored region, over the Coari, Guaporé, Mamoré and Tefé river basins