A multi-model sub-seasonal forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME produced on 11/26/2024 for the next 7 and 14 days.
The calibrated sub-seasonal multi-model forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME is generated through scientific cooperation between CPTEC/INPE and FUNCEME, and comes from a set of 4 global models (a Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP, and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). The forecast precipitation anomalies are determined in relation to the climatological period from 1999 to 2016. The outputs for the 7 and 14-day forecast intervals are shown below, detailing the forecast behavior of the basins of interest.
Forecast for the next 7 days
The figure above shows the forecast for the 7-day interval between 11/27/2024 e 12/03/2024, with a precipitation deficit forecast (orange) over almost the entire monitored region. Rainfall close to climatology (white) over the Ucayali River basin. No forecast of positive rainfall anomalies (blue) in the monitored region.
Forecast for the next 14 days
The figure above shows the prognosis for the 14-day interval between 11/27/2024 e 12/10/2024, with a precipitation deficit forecast (orange) over much of the monitored region. Rainfall close to climatology (white) over the Amazon River in Peruvian territory and the Içá, Japurá, Javari, Juruá, Marañon, Napo, Tefé and Ucayali river basins. No forecast of positive rainfall anomalies (blue) in the monitored region.