A multi-model sub-seasonal forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME produced on 12/10/2024 for the next 7 and 14 days.
The calibrated sub-seasonal multi-model forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME is generated through scientific cooperation between CPTEC/INPE and FUNCEME, and comes from a set of 4 global models (a Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP, and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). The forecast precipitation anomalies are determined in relation to the climatological period from 1999 to 2016. The outputs for the 7 and 14-day forecast intervals are shown below, detailing the forecast behavior of the basins of interest.
Forecast for the next 7 days
The figure above shows the forecast for the 7-day interval between 12/11/2024 e 12/17/2024, with rainfall close to climatology (white) in the central north-south strip of the monitored area, with a forecast rainfall deficit (orange) in the east and west of the region, over the main course of the Amazon River in Brazilian and Peruvian territory and the basins of the Aripuanã, Curuá Una, Içá, Iriri, Japurá, Javari, Ji-paraná, Juruena, basins on the left bank of the Amazon River in the northeast and northwest of the state of Pará, Napo, Negro, Tapajós, Teles Pires and Xingu. Forecast of positive precipitation anomalies (blue) in isolated areas over the Tefé River basin.
Forecast for the next 14 days
The figure above shows the prognosis for the 14-day interval between 12/11/2024 e 12/24/2024, with rainfall close to climatology (white) in the western region of the monitored area, forecast rainfall deficit (orange) over the main course of the Amazon River in Brazilian and Peruvian territory and the basins of the Aripuanã, Beni, Branco, Coari, Curuá Una, Guaporé, Iriri, Japurá, Ji-Paraná, Juruena, Madeira, Mamoré, basins on the left bank of the Amazon River in the northeast and northwest of the state of Pará, Negro, Purus, Tapajós, Xingu and the main course of the Solimões River. Prediction of positive precipitation anomalies (blue) in isolated areas, mainly over the Tefé River basin.