A multi-model sub-seasonal forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME produced on 01/28/2025 for the next 7 and 14 days.
The calibrated sub-seasonal multi-model forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME is generated through scientific cooperation between CPTEC/INPE and FUNCEME, and comes from a set of 4 global models (a Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP, and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). The forecast precipitation anomalies are determined in relation to the climatological period from 1999 to 2016. The outputs for the 7 and 14-day forecast intervals are shown below, detailing the forecast behavior of the basins of interest.
Forecast for the next 7 days
The figure above shows the forecast for the 7-day interval between 01/29/2025 e 02/04/2025, forecast of precipitation deficits (orange) over the main course of the Amazon River in Brazilian territory, the Mamoré River basin and the basins on the left bank of the Amazon River in the northeast of the state of Amazonas and the northeast and northwest of the state of Pará. Forecast of positive rainfall anomalies (blue) over the basins of the Abacaxis, Aripuanã, Coari, Curuá Una, Guaporé, Iriri, Ji-Paraná, Juruena, Madeira, Tapajós, Teles Pires, Xingu and main course of the Solimões rivers. Rainfall close to climatology (white) in the other areas of the monitored region.
Forecast for the next 14 days
The figure above shows the prognosis for the 14-day interval between 01/29/2025 e 02/11/2025, no precipitation deficit forecast (orange) over almost all the basins. Forecast of positive rainfall anomalies (blue) over almost all the basins in the monitored region. Rainfall close to climatology (white) over the Javari, Mamoré, Marañon and Ucayali river basins.