A multi-model sub-seasonal forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME produced on 06/3/2025 for the next 7 and 14 days.
The calibrated sub-seasonal multi-model forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME is generated through scientific cooperation between CPTEC/INPE and FUNCEME, and comes from a set of 4 global models (a Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP, and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). The forecast precipitation anomalies are determined in relation to the climatological period from 1999 to 2016. The outputs for the 7 and 14-day forecast intervals are shown below, detailing the forecast behavior of the basins of interest.
Forecast for the next 7 days
The figure above shows the forecast for the 7-day interval between 06/04/2025 e 06/10/2025, precipitation deficit forecast (orange) over the main course of the Amazon River in Brazilian territory, the hydrographic basins of the Abacaxis, Aripuanã, Beni, Branco, Curuá Una, Guaporé, Iriri, Ji-Paraná, Juruena, Mamoré rivers, basins on the left bank of the Amazon River in the northeast of the state of Amazonas and in the northeast and northwest of the state of Pará, Tapajós, Teles Pires, and Xingu. Forecast of positive precipitation anomalies (blue) over the main course of the Amazon River in Peruvian territory, the Coari, Içá, Japurá, Javari, Jutaí, Napo, Negro, and Tefé river basins, and the main course of the Solimões River. Forecast of rainfall close to climatology (white) over the Juruá, Madeira, Marañon, Purus, and Ucayali river basins.
Forecast for the next 14 days
The figure above shows the prognosis for the 14-day interval between 06/04/2025 e 06/17/2025, forecast of positive precipitation anomalies (blue) over the main course of the Amazon River in Peruvian territory, the watersheds of the Coari, Içá, Japurá, Javari, Juruá, Jutaí, Marañon, Napo, Negro, Purus, and Tefé rivers, and the main course of the Solimões River. Forecast of rainfall close to climatology (white) over the river basins of the Abacaxis, Aripuanã, Beni, Guaporé, Iriri, Ji-Paraná, Juruena, Madeira, Mamoré, Tapajós, and Ucayali rivers. Forecast of precipitation deficit (orange) over the main course of the Amazon River in Brazilian territory, the Branco, Curuá Una river basins, the left bank basins of the Amazon River in the northeast of the state of Amazonas and in the northeast and northwest of the state of Pará, Teles Pires, and Xingu.