A multi-model sub-seasonal forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME produced on 08/12/2025 for the next 7 and 14 days.

The calibrated sub-seasonal multi-model forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME is generated through scientific cooperation between CPTEC/INPE and FUNCEME, and comes from a set of 4 global models (a Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP, and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). The forecast precipitation anomalies are determined in relation to the climatological period from 1999 to 2016. The outputs for the 7 and 14-day forecast intervals are shown below, detailing the forecast behavior of the basins of interest.

Forecast for the next 7 days

multimodel_calibrado_seven_days

The figure above shows the forecast for the 7-day interval between 08/13/2025 e 08/19/2025, forecast of positive precipitation anomalies (blue) over the main course of the Amazon River in Peruvian territory and the watersheds of the Abacaxis, Aripuanã, Içá, Japurá, Marañon, Napo, and Tapajós rivers. Forecast of precipitation deficit (orange) concentrated over the Mamoré River basin. Forecast of rainfall close to climatology (white) over the other monitored basins.

Forecast for the next 14 days

multimodel_calibrado

The figure above shows the prognosis for the 14-day interval between 08/13/2025 e 08/26/2025, predominance of positive precipitation anomalies (blue) over the main course of the Amazon River in Peruvian territory and the hydrographic basins of the Aripuanã, Içá, Japurá, Javari, Jutaí, Napo, Tefé rivers and the main course of the Solimões River. Forecast of precipitation deficit (orange) over the basins of the Branco, Curuá Una, and left bank basins of the Amazon River in northeastern Pará State. Forecast of rainfall close to climatology (white) over the other monitored basins.