A multi-model sub-seasonal forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME produced on 09/16/2025 for the next 7 and 14 days.
The calibrated sub-seasonal multi-model forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME is generated through scientific cooperation between CPTEC/INPE and FUNCEME, and comes from a set of 4 global models (a Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP, and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). The forecast precipitation anomalies are determined in relation to the climatological period from 1999 to 2016. The outputs for the 7 and 14-day forecast intervals are shown below, detailing the forecast behavior of the basins of interest.
Forecast for the next 7 days
The figure above shows the forecast for the 7-day interval between 09/17/2025 e 09/23/2025, forecast of precipitation deficit (orange) concentrated over the northeast of the monitored region, over the main course of the Amazon River in Brazilian territory, the river basins of Abacaxis, Branco, Curuá Una, Iriri, and the left bank basins of the Amazon River in the northeast of Amazonas State and in the northeast and northwest of Pará State. Forecast of positive precipitation anomalies (blue) over the Juruá River basin. Forecast of rainfall near climatology (white) over the other monitored basins.
Forecast for the next 14 days
The figure above shows the prognosis for the 14-day interval between 09/17/2025 e 09/30/2025, forecast of positive precipitation anomalies (blue) over the main course of the Amazon River in Peruvian territory, the river basins of Aripuanã, Coari, Ji-Paraná, Juruá, Juruena, Jutaí, Madeira, Purus, Tapajós, Tefé, Teles Pires, and the main course of the Solimões River. Forecast of precipitation deficit (orange) concentrated over the northeast and south of the monitored region, over the main course of the Amazon River in Brazilian territory, the river basins of Beni, Branco, Curuá Una, Guaporé, Mamoré, and the left bank basins of the Amazon River in the northeast of Amazonas State and in the northeast and northwest of Pará State. Forecast of rainfall near climatology (white) over the other monitored basins.