A multi-model sub-seasonal forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME produced on 10/0/2025 for the next 7 and 14 days.
The calibrated sub-seasonal multi-model forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME is generated through scientific cooperation between CPTEC/INPE and FUNCEME, and comes from a set of 4 global models (a Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP, and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). The forecast precipitation anomalies are determined in relation to the climatological period from 1999 to 2016. The outputs for the 7 and 14-day forecast intervals are shown below, detailing the forecast behavior of the basins of interest.
Forecast for the next 7 days
The figure above shows the forecast for the 7-day interval between 10/01/2025 e 10/07/2025, recipitation deficit forecast (orange) concentrated over the southeast of the monitored region, over the basins of the Abacaxis, Aripuanã, Beni, Curuá Una, Guaporé, Iriri, Ji-Paraná, Juruena, Mamoré, Tapajós, Teles Pires, and Xingu rivers. Forecast of positive precipitation anomalies (blue) over the Branco, Coari, Juruá river basins, the left bank basins of the Amazon River in the northeast of the state of Amazonas and in the northeast of the state of Pará, Negro, Tefé and the main course of the Solimões River. Forecast of rainfall close to climatology (white) over the other monitored basins.
Forecast for the next 14 days
The figure above shows the prognosis for the 14-day interval between 10/01/2025 e 10/14/2025, forecast of positive precipitation anomalies (blue) concentrated in the north of the monitored region, over the main course of the Amazon River in Peruvian territory, the basins of the Branco, Coari, Japurá, Juruá, and Jutaí rivers, the basins on the left bank of the Amazon River in the northeast of the state of Amazonas and in the northeast of the state of Pará, the Negro, Purus, and Tefé rivers, and the main course of the Solimões River. Forecast of precipitation deficit (orange) concentrated over the southeast of the monitored region, over the basins of the Aripuanã, Beni, Guaporé, Iriri, Ji-Paraná, Juruena, Mamoré, Tapajós, Teles Pires, and Xingu rivers. Forecast of rainfall close to climatology (white) over the other monitored basins.