A multi-model sub-seasonal forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME produced on 06/9/2026 for the next 7 and 14 days.

The calibrated sub-seasonal multi-model forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME is generated through scientific cooperation between CPTEC/INPE and FUNCEME, and comes from a set of 4 global models (a Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP, and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). The forecast precipitation anomalies are determined in relation to the climatological period from 1999 to 2016. The outputs for the 7 and 14-day forecast intervals are shown below, detailing the forecast behavior of the basins of interest.

Forecast for the next 7 days

multimodel_calibrado_seven_days

The figure shows the forecast for the 7-day interval between 06/10/2026 and 06/16/2026, forecast of predominantly positive precipitation anomalies (blue) concentrated over the center, west, and south of the monitored region. Forecast of precipitation deficit (orange) concentrated in the northeast of the monitored region, over the main course of the Amazon River in Brazilian territory and basins on the left bank of the Amazon River in the northeast of the state of Amazonas, the northeast and northwest of the state of Pará, and the Rio Negro basin. Rainfall close to climatological norms (white) is forecast for the Curuá Una and Xingu river basins.

Forecast for the next 14 days

multimodel_calibrado

The figure shows the prognosis for the 7-day interval between 06/17/2026 and 06/23/2026, forecast of predominantly positive precipitation anomalies (blue) concentrated over the center and west of the monitored region. Forecast of precipitation deficit (orange) concentrated in the northeast of the monitored region, over the main course of the Amazon River in Brazilian territory, the Rio Branco basin, and the basins on the left bank of the Amazon River in the northeast of the state of Amazonas, and the northeast and northwest of the state of Pará. Rainfall close to climatological norms (white) is forecast for the Curuá Una, Guaporé, Mamoré, and Negro river basins.