A multi-model sub-seasonal forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME produced on 08/11/2026 for the next 7 and 14 days.

The calibrated sub-seasonal multi-model forecast CPTEC/INPE-FUNCEME is generated through scientific cooperation between CPTEC/INPE and FUNCEME, and comes from a set of 4 global models (a Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). Brazilian model, BAM-1.2/CPTEC, and three US models, CFSv2/NCEP, GEFSv12/NCEP, and ESRL/NOAA, the latter three from the SubX project). The forecast precipitation anomalies are determined in relation to the climatological period from 1999 to 2016. The outputs for the 7 and 14-day forecast intervals are shown below, detailing the forecast behavior of the basins of interest.

Forecast for the next 7 days

multimodel_calibrado_seven_days

The figure shows the forecast for the 7-day interval between 08/12/2026 and 08/18/2026, forecast of a precipitation deficit (orange) concentrated in the north and northeast of the monitored area, over the main course of the Amazon River in Brazilian and Peruvian territories, the watersheds of the Branco, Coari, Curuá Una, Içá, Japurá, Marañon, the left-bank basins of the Amazon River in the northeast of the state of Amazonas, the northeast and northwest of the state of Pará, the basins of the Napo, Negro, and Tefé rivers, and the main course of the Solimões River; forecast of positive anomalies over the watersheds of the Aripuanã, Beni, Jutaí, and Mamoré rivers. Forecast of predominantly positive precipitation anomalies (blue) in the Aripuanã, Beni, Jutaí, and Madeira river basins. Precipitation near climatological norms (white) is forecast for the remaining river basins.

Forecast for the next 14 days

multimodel_calibrado

The figure shows the prognosis for the 7-day interval between 08/19/2026 and 08/25/2026, forecast of precipitation deficits (orange) concentrated in the northeast and far north of the monitored area, along the main course of the Amazon River in Brazilian territory, the Branco and Curuá Una river basins, and the basins on the left bank of the Amazon River in the northeast of the state of Amazonas, as well as the northeast and northwest of the state of Pará. Forecast of positive precipitation anomalies (blue) over the Içá, Javari, and Napo river basins. Rainfall close to climatological norms (white) is forecast for the remaining river basins.